Stochastic Comparative Statics in Markov Decision Processes

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Publication:5000655

DOI10.1287/MOOR.2020.1086zbMATH Open1471.90162arXiv1904.05481OpenAlexW3126527592MaRDI QIDQ5000655FDOQ5000655

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Publication date: 15 July 2021

Published in: Mathematics of Operations Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: In multi-period stochastic optimization problems, the future optimal decision is a random variable whose distribution depends on the parameters of the optimization problem. We analyze how the expected value of this random variable changes as a function of the dynamic optimization parameters in the context of Markov decision processes. We call this analysis emph{stochastic comparative statics}. We derive both emph{comparative statics} results and emph{stochastic comparative statics} results showing how the current and future optimal decisions change in response to changes in the single-period payoff function, the discount factor, the initial state of the system, and the transition probability function. We apply our results to various models from the economics and operations research literature, including investment theory, dynamic pricing models, controlled random walks, and comparisons of stationary distributions.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.05481





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