Dynamic belief elicitation

DOI10.3982/ECTA15293MaRDI QIDQ5012767zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Christopher P. Chambers, Nicolas S. Lambert

Publication date 25 November 2021

Published in Econometrica (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta15293

zbMATH Keywords

scoring rulesecond-order beliefsdynamic informationBecker-DeGroot-Marschak mechanismhigh-order beliefselicitation device

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Decision theory (91B06)

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• Obvious belief elicitation
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• A mechanism for the elicitation of second-order belief and subjective information structure
• A mechanism for eliciting the mean and quantiles of a random variable
• Incomplete risk attitudes and random choice behavior: an elicitation mechanism
• Incentive-compatible surveys via posterior probabilities
• A theory-based decision model
• Delegation of information acquisition, information asymmetry, and outside option
• Changing One's Mind when the Facts Change: Incentives of Experts and the Design of Reporting Protocols
• Constrained preference elicitation
• Dynamically consistent beliefs must be Bayesian
• Eliciting second-order beliefs
• Equilibrium selection in information elicitation without verification via information monotonicity
• A Mechanism for Eliciting Probabilities

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