An epidemic model for cholera with optimal control treatment

DOI10.1016/J.CAM.2016.11.002zbMATH Open1362.34078DBLPjournals/jcam/Lemos-PaiaoST17arXiv1611.02195OpenAlexW2554379065WikidataQ57650397 ScholiaQ57650397MaRDI QIDQ507871FDOQ507871

Authors: Ana P. Lemos-Paião, Cristiana J. Silva, Delfim F. M. Torres 

Publication date: 9 February 2017

Published in: Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We propose a mathematical model for cholera with treatment through quarantine. The model is shown to be both epidemiologically and mathematically well posed. In particular, we prove that all solutions of the model are positive and bounded; and that every solution with initial conditions in a certain meaningful set remains in that set for all time. The existence of unique disease-free and endemic equilibrium points is proved and the basic reproduction number is computed. Then, we study the local asymptotic stability of these equilibrium points. An optimal control problem is proposed and analyzed, whose goal is to obtain a successful treatment through quarantine. We provide the optimal quarantine strategy for the minimization of the number of infectious individuals and bacteria concentration, as well as the costs associated with the quarantine. Finally, a numerical simulation of the cholera outbreak in the Department of Artibonite (Haiti), in 2010, is carried out, illustrating the usefulness of the model and its analysis.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1611.02195

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zbMATH Keywords

basic reproduction numberoptimal controllocal asymptotic stabilitydisease-free and endemic equilibrianumerical case study of HaitiSIQRB cholera model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Asymptotic properties of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D05) Stability of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D20) Optimality conditions for problems involving ordinary differential equations (49K15) Growth and boundedness of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34C11)

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• Modeling and optimal control of HIV/AIDS prevention through PrEP
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