On the distribution of analytic ranks of elliptic curves

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Publication:6081871



Abstract: In this paper, under GRH for elliptic L-functions, we give an upper bound for the probability for an elliptic curve with analytic rank leqa for ageq11, and also give an upper bound of n-th moments of analytic ranks of elliptic curves. These are applications of counting elliptic curves with local conditions, for example, having good reduction at p.


Assuming the Generalized Riemann Hypothesis for \(L\)-functions of elliptic curves, the authors prove upper bounds on the proportion of elliptic curves over \(\mathbb{Q}\) ordered by naive height that have analytic rank larger than \(r\). They also prove upper bounds for moments of analytic ranks of elliptic curves. Heath-Brown has also studied the proportion of elliptic curves with analytic rank larger than \(r\) using other techniques [\textit{D. R. Heath-Brown}, Duke Math. J. 122, No. 3, 591--623 (2004; Zbl 1063.11013)]. The authors improve on these results for some range of \(r\). A major ingredient in these results is counting elliptic curves ordered by height that satisfy certain local conditions. These results have connections to recent work of \textit{J. E. Cremona} and \textit{M. Sadek} [Math. Res. Lett. 30, No. 2, 413--461 (2023; Zbl 07738726)]. The authors study an \(n\)-level density with multiplicity using an approach related to work in the Ph.D. thesis of S. J. Miller. A major input into these results is a formula involving products of powers of Frobenius traces of elliptic curves. Similar results appear in the work of Young on moments of central values of elliptic curve \(L\)-functions [\textit{M. P. Young}, Can. J. Math. 62, No. 5, 1155--1181 (2010; Zbl 1285.11113)]. The proof follows a strategy from an earlier paper of \textit{P. J. Cho} and \textit{H. H. Kim} [Int. Math. Res. Not. 2015, No. 17, 7861--7883 (2015; Zbl 1385.11027)]. In a separate paper the authors have applied the results described here to prove upper bounds for the proportion of elliptic curves defined over \(\mathbb{Q}\) with a given torsion subgroup \(G\) and large analytic rank [\textit{P. J. Cho} and \textit{K. Jeong}, J. Lond. Math. Soc., II. Ser. 107, No. 2, 616--657 (2023; Zbl 07731014)].











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