Evolving genealogies for branching populations under selection and competition

DOI10.1214/22-AAP1925MaRDI QIDQ6138916zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Airam Blancas, Stephan Gufler, Sandra Kliem, Viet Chi Tran, Anton Wakolbinger

Publication date 16 January 2024

Published in The Annals of Applied Probability (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.16201

zbMATH Keywords

selectiongenealogylookdown processbirth-death particle systemdensity-dependent competitionfluctuating population sizeselective lookdown spacetree-valued processes

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Genetics and epigenetics (92D10) Interacting random processes; statistical mechanics type models; percolation theory (60K35) Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Branching processes (Galton-Watson, birth-and-death, etc.) (60J80)

Abstract: For a continuous state branching process with two types of individuals which are subject to selection and density dependent competition, we characterize the joint evolution of population size, type configurations and genealogies as the unique strong solution of a system of SDE's. Our construction is achieved in the lookdown framework and provides a synthesis as well as a generalization of cases considered separately in two seminal papers by Donnelly and Kurtz (1999), namely fluctuating population sizes under neutrality, and selection with constant population size. As a conceptual core in our approach we introduce the selective lookdown space which is obtained from its neutral counterpart through a state-dependent thinning of ``potential selection/competition events whose rates interact with the evolution of the type densities. The updates of the genealogical distance matrix at the ``active selection/competition events are obtained through an appropriate sampling from the selective lookdown space. The solution of the above mentioned system of SDE's is then mapped into the joint evolution of population size and symmetrized type configurations and genealogies, i.e. marked distance matrix distributions. By means of Kurtz' Markov mapping theorem, we characterize the latter process as the unique solution of a martingale problem. For the sake of transparency we restrict the main part of our presentation to a prototypical example with two types, which contains the essential features. In the final section we outline an extension to processes with multiple types including mutation.

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Cited in

(1)

• A \(\Lambda\)-Fleming-Viot type model with intrinsically varying population size

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