KPZ equation tails for general initial data

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Abstract: We consider the upper and lower tail probabilities for the centered (by time/24) and scaled (according to KPZ time1/3 scaling) one-point distribution of the Cole-Hopf solution of the KPZ equation when started with initial data drawn from a very general class. For the lower tail, we prove an upper bound which demonstrates a crossover from super-exponential decay with exponent 3 in the shallow tail to an exponent 5/2 in the deep tail. For the upper tail, we prove super-exponential decay bounds with exponent 3/2 at all depth in the tail.



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