Sharp thresholds for the random-cluster and Ising models

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Abstract: A sharp-threshold theorem is proved for box-crossing probabilities on the square lattice. The models in question are the random-cluster model near the self-dual point pmathrmsd(q)=sqrtq/(1+sqrtq), the Ising model with external field, and the colored random-cluster model. The principal technique is an extension of the influence theorem for monotonic probability measures applied to increasing events with no assumption of symmetry.



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