The Bayesian logic of frequency-based conjunction fallacies

DOI10.1016/J.JMP.2010.12.001MaRDI QIDQ534431zbMATHOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Momme von Sydow

Publication date 17 May 2011

Published in Journal of Mathematical Psychology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmp.2010.12.001

zbMATH Keywords

rationalityinductive logicconjunction fallacyBayesian modelsparadoxes of predicationprobability judgments

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to psychology (62P15) Empirical decision procedures; empirical Bayes procedures (62C12) Probability and inductive logic (03B48)

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Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 107631 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1493045 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1749201 (Why is no real title available?)
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• Hempel's Raven Paradox: A Lacuna in the Standard Bayesian Solution
• Hypotheses and inductive predictions
• I.—STUDIES IN THE LOGIC OF CONFIRMATION (I.)
• Non-monotonic reasoning from an evolution-theoretic perspective: Ontic, logical and cognitive foundations
• On the logic of high probability
• Quantum dynamics of human decision-making

Cited in

(5)

• The conjunction fallacy: explanations of the linda problem by the theory of hints
• Is the conjunction fallacy tied to probabilistic confirmation?
• Walter the banker: the conjunction fallacy reconsidered
• Quantum-like models cannot account for the conjunction fallacy
• A unified account of the conjunction fallacy by coherence

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