Weakly dependent chains with infinite memory

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Abstract: We prove the existence of a weakly dependent strictly stationary solution of the equation Xt=F(Xt−1,Xt−2,Xt−3,...;xit) called {em chain with infinite memory}. Here the {em innovations} xit constitute an independent and identically distributed sequence of random variables. The function F takes values in some Banach space and satisfies a Lipschitz-type condition. We also study the interplay between the existence of moments and the rate of decay of the Lipschitz coefficients of the function F. With the help of the weak dependence properties, we derive Strong Laws of Large Number, a Central Limit Theorem and a Strong Invariance Principle.


The authors consider the stationary solution of the equation \(X_t = F(X_{t-1},X_{t-2},\ldots;\xi_t)\) a.s. for \(t\in \mathbb{Z}\) where \((\xi_t)_{t\in\mathbb{Z}}\) is a sequence of i.i.d. random variables, \(F\) takes values in a Banach space and satisfies the Lipschitz-type condition. An explicit upper bound for the \(\tau\)-dependence coefficient introduced by \textit{J. Dedecker} and \textit{C. Prieur} [J. Theor. Probab. 17, No. 4, 855--885 (2004; Zbl 1067.60008)] of \((X_t)_{t\in\mathbb{Z}}\) is provided under specified assumptions concerning \(F\) (involving certain Orlicz space). The relation between the above mentioned result and the analogous one for mixing coefficients established in [\textit{M. Iosifescu, S. Grigorescu}, Dependence with Complete Connections and Applications. Cambridge Tracts in Mathematics. 96. (Cambridge), UK: Cambridge University Press. (1990; Zbl 0749.60067)] is discussed. SLLN, CLT and strong invariance principle are obtained using the bounds for \(\tau(r)\) as \(r\to \infty\). Among various examples one can mention non-linear autoregressive models and the Galton -- Watson process with immigration.



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