Optimal Linear Opinion Pools

DOI10.1287/mnsc.37.5.546zbMath0728.62008OpenAlexW2128980012MaRDI QIDQ3352259

Morris H. DeGroot, Julia Mortera

Publication date: 1991

Published in: Management Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.37.5.546

zbMATH Keywords

weightsteamsscoring rulescommon priorcombining probability distributionslinear opinion poolmultiple decision makersoptimal weightsopinion poolquadratic loss functionscommon lossgroup of Bayesiansrestricted communications

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian problems; characterization of Bayes procedures (62C10) Decision theory (91B06)

Related Items (11)

Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts ⋮ Conditionally externally Bayesian pooling operators in chain graphs ⋮ Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion) ⋮ Bounds on the probability of radically different opinions ⋮ A REPRESENTATION OF KEYNES’S LONG-TERM EXPECTATION IN FINANCIAL MARKETS ⋮ Bayesian analysis with limited communication ⋮ Calibration, sharpness and the weighting of experts in a linear opinion pool ⋮ Resolving some contradictions in the theory of linear opinion pools. ⋮ The maximal difference among expert's opinions ⋮ Learning Optimal Forecast Aggregation in Partial Evidence Environments ⋮ Can Coherent Predictions be Contradictory?

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