D. Sornette

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List of research outcomes

This list is not complete and representing at the moment only items from zbMATH Open and arXiv. We are working on additional sources - please check back here soon!

PublicationDate of PublicationType
Self-organization in complex systems as decision making
Advances in Complex Systems
2024-06-14Paper
THE FAIR REWARD PROBLEM: THE ILLUSION OF SUCCESS AND HOW TO SOLVE IT
Advances in Complex Systems
2024-03-27Paper
Hierarchy of temporal responses of multivariate self-excited epidemic processes
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2023-07-26Paper
Portfolio selection with exploration of new investment assets
European Journal of Operational Research
2023-07-11Paper
Comparing nested data sets and objectively determining financial bubbles' inceptions
Physica A
2022-07-26Paper
An adaptive dynamical model of default contagion
Quantitative Finance
2022-07-22Paper
Information processing by networks of quantum decision makers
Physica A
2022-06-23Paper
Role of collective information in networks of quantum operating agents
Physica A
2022-05-20Paper
Prediction and prevention of disproportionally dominant agents in complex networks
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
2022-05-05Paper
Classification of flash crashes using the Hawkes \(p,q\) framework
Quantitative Finance
2022-04-05Paper
Evolutionary patterns of onshore and offshore renminbi exchange rates with convexity-concavity indicators
Quantitative Finance
2022-04-05Paper
Scale-, time- and asset-dependence of Hawkes process estimates on high frequency price changes
Quantitative Finance
2021-12-01Paper
Inefficient bubbles and efficient drawdowns in financial markets
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
2021-03-16Paper
A nonuniformly integrable martingale bubble with a crash
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics
2019-11-22Paper
On the predictability of stock market bubbles: evidence from LPPLS confidence multi-scale indicators
Quantitative Finance
2019-09-26Paper
The endo-exo problem in high frequency financial price fluctuations and rejecting criticality
Quantitative Finance
2019-09-26Paper
Apparent criticality and calibration issues in the Hawkes self-excited point process model: application to high-frequency financial data
Quantitative Finance
2019-02-06Paper
Decision trees unearth return sign predictability in the S\&P 500
Quantitative Finance
2019-02-06Paper
Value-at-risk-efficient portfolios for a class of super- and sub-exponentially decaying assets return distributions
Quantitative Finance
2019-01-15Paper
Testing the Gaussian copula hypothesis for financial assets dependences
Quantitative Finance
2019-01-14Paper
Economies of scale in innovations with block-busters
Quantitative Finance
2019-01-14Paper
Imitation and contrarian behaviour: hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos
Quantitative Finance
2019-01-14Paper
Multi-dimensional rational bubbles and fat tails
Quantitative Finance
2019-01-14Paper
Multifractal returns and hierarchical portfolio theory
Quantitative Finance
2019-01-14Paper
Significance of log-periodic precursors to financial crashes
Quantitative Finance
2019-01-14Paper
The US 2000--2002 market descent: how much longer and deeper?
Quantitative Finance
2019-01-14Paper
Symmetric thermal optimal path and time-dependent lead-lag relationship: novel statistical tests and application to UK and US real-estate and monetary policies
Quantitative Finance
2018-11-19Paper
Modified profile likelihood inference and interval forecast of the burst of financial bubbles
Quantitative Finance
2018-11-19Paper
Zipf's law and maximum sustainable growth
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
2018-11-01Paper
A stable and robust calibration scheme of the log-periodic power law model
Physica A
2018-09-11Paper
The Hawkes process with renewal immigration \& its estimation with an EM algorithm
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
2018-08-15Paper
Super-exponential growth expectations and the global financial crisis
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
2018-08-13Paper
The ARMA Point Process and its Estimation2018-06-26Paper
A Generalized 2D-Dynamical Mean-Field Ising Model with a Rich Set of Bifurcations (Inspired and Applied to Financial Crises)
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering
2018-05-25Paper
Dynamic transition in symbiotic evolution induced by growth rate variation
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering
2017-05-11Paper
Quantum probability and quantum decision-making
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
2017-01-13Paper
Macroeconomic dynamics of assets, leverage and trust
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering
2016-09-29Paper
A general strategy for physics-based model validation illustrated with earthquake phenomenology, atmospheric radiative transfer, and computational fluid dynamics
Lecture Notes in Computational Science and Engineering
2015-10-29Paper
Inferring fundamental value and crash nonlinearity from bubble calibration
Quantitative Finance
2015-04-08Paper
New Approach to Modeling Symbiosis in Biological and Social Systems
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering
2014-12-03Paper
Bridge homogeneous volatility estimators
Quantitative Finance
2014-09-05Paper
Population dynamics with nonlinear delayed carrying capacity
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering
2014-05-21Paper
Cycles, determinism and persistence in agent-based games and financial time-series. I
Quantitative Finance
2014-01-24Paper
Cycles, determinism and persistence in agent-based games and financial time-series. II
Quantitative Finance
2014-01-24Paper
Challenges to the assessment of time-to-proof of mathematical conjectures
The Mathematical Intelligencer
2014-01-23Paper
Challenges to the assessment of time-to-proof of mathematical conjectures
The Mathematical Intelligencer
2014-01-23Paper
Modeling symbiosis by interactions through species carrying capacities
Physica D
2012-09-11Paper
Economic networks: the new challenges
Science
2011-11-30Paper
Quantum decision theory as quantum theory of measurement
Physics Letters. A
2011-11-30Paper
Decision theory with prospect interference and entanglement
Theory and Decision
2011-04-05Paper
Decision theory with prospect interference and entanglement
Theory and Decision
2011-04-05Paper
Generation-by-generation dissection of the response function in long memory epidemic processes
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2011-01-04Paper
Generation-by-generation dissection of the response function in long memory epidemic processes
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2011-01-04Paper
Heavy-tailed distribution of cyber-risks
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2011-01-04Paper
Heavy-tailed distribution of cyber-risks
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2011-01-04Paper
Mathematical structure of quantum decision theory
Advances in Complex Systems
2010-12-15Paper
Self-organizing Ising model of financial markets
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2010-06-25Paper
Self-organizing Ising model of financial markets
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2010-06-25Paper
Erratum: ``Illusion of control in time-horizon minority and Parrondo games
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2010-06-25Paper
Illusion of control in time-horizon minority and Parrondo games
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2010-06-25Paper
Physics of risk and uncertainty in quantum decision making
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2010-06-23Paper
Physics of risk and uncertainty in quantum decision making
The European Physical Journal B. Condensed Matter and Complex Systems
2010-06-23Paper
Entanglement production in quantum decision making2010-03-19Paper
Processing information in quantum decision theory
Entropy
2010-01-29Paper
Theory of Zipf's law and beyond
Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
2009-11-30Paper
Punctuated evolution due to delayed carrying capacity
Physica D
2009-09-28Paper
BUBBLES AND ANTI-BUBBLES IN LATIN-AMERICAN, ASIAN AND WESTERN STOCK MARKETS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
2008-09-03Paper
CRASHES AS CRITICAL POINTS
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
2008-09-03Paper
Properties of a simple bilinear stochastic model: Estimation and predictability
Physica D
2008-04-16Paper
The modified weibull distribution for asset returns: reply
Quantitative Finance
2007-05-09Paper
Intelligent finance—an emerging direction
Quantitative Finance
2007-05-09Paper
Critical phenomena in natural sciences. Chaos, fractals, selforganization and disorder: Concepts and tools.
Springer Series in Synergetics
2006-08-03Paper
Inverse statistics and multifractality of exit distances in 3D fully developed turbulence
Physica D
2006-06-09Paper
Extreme Financial Risks2006-04-06Paper
Empirical distributions of stock returns: between the stretched exponential and the power law?
Quantitative Finance
2006-03-08Paper
Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the ‘optimal thermal causal path’ method
Quantitative Finance
2006-03-08Paper
A NONLINEAR SUPER-EXPONENTIAL RATIONAL MODEL OF SPECULATIVE FINANCIAL BUBBLES
International Journal of Modern Physics C
2006-01-31Paper
THEORY OF SELF-SIMILAR OSCILLATORY FINITE-TIME SINGULARITIES
International Journal of Modern Physics C
2006-01-09Paper
NONPARAMETRIC ANALYSES OF LOG-PERIODIC PRECURSORS TO FINANCIAL CRASHES
International Journal of Modern Physics C
2005-10-27Paper
RESPONSE FUNCTIONS TO CRITICAL SHOCKS IN SOCIAL SCIENCES: AN EMPIRICAL AND NUMERICAL STUDY
International Journal of Modern Physics C
2005-04-15Paper
Critical phenomena in natural sciences. Chaos, fractals, selforganization and disorder: concepts and tools.
Springer Series in Synergetics
2004-03-21Paper
Renormalization group analysis of the 2000-2002 anti-bubble in the US S\& P500 index: explanation of the hierarchy of five crashes and prediction
Physica A
2003-11-23Paper
Evidence of a worldwide stock market log-periodic anti-bubble since mid-2000
Physica A
2003-11-23Paper
2000-2003 real estate bubble in the UK but not in the USA
Physica A
2003-10-05Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1987559 (Why is no real title available?)2003-09-30Paper
Summation of power series by self-similar factor approximants
Physica A
2003-09-28Paper
Finite-time singularity signature of hyperinflation
Physica A
2003-06-23Paper
Critical market crashes
Physics Reports
2003-04-02Paper
Endogenous versus exogenous shocks in systems with memory
Physica A
2003-02-26Paper
``Slimming of power-law tails by increasing market returns
Physica A
2002-06-04Paper
Evidence of intermittent cascades from discrete hierarchical dissipation in turbulence
Physica D
2002-05-12Paper
The Kalman-Lévy filter
Physica D
2002-05-07Paper
Oscillatory finite-time singularities in finance, population and rupture
Physica A
2002-05-02Paper
From rational bubbles to crashes
Physica A
2001-10-23Paper
Data-adaptive wavelets and multi-scale singular-spectrum analysis
Physica D
2001-10-04Paper
PORTFOLIO THEORY FOR "FAT TAILS"
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
2001-07-05Paper
Finite-time singularity in the dynamics of the world population, economic and financial indices
Physica A
2001-06-21Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1552565 (Why is no real title available?)2001-01-15Paper
Fokker-Planck equation of distributions of financial returns and power laws
Physica A
2001-01-09Paper
Critical phenomena in natural sciences. Chaos, fractals, selforganization and disorder: concepts and tools
Springer Series in Synergetics
2000-12-10Paper
Punctuated vortex coalescence and discrete scale invariance in two-dimensional turbulence
Physica D
2000-10-08Paper
The wave motion for the time-dependent Schrödinger, classical wave and Klein-Gordon equations
Physics Letters. A
2000-09-03Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1222791 (Why is no real title available?)1998-11-11Paper
MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF HUMAN GESTATION AND PARTURITION: IMPLICATIONS FOR EARLY DIAGNOSIS OF PREMATURITY AND POSTMATURITY
International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering
1997-07-03Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1552549 (Why is no real title available?)1997-01-01Paper
The Black-Scholes option pricing problem in mathematical finance: generalization and extensions for a large class of stochastic processes
Journal de Physique I
1994-07-21Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3475 (Why is no real title available?)1992-06-25Paper
Coarse-grained properties of the chaotic trajectories in the stadium
Physica D
1990-01-01Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4089195 (Why is no real title available?)1989-01-01Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3963451 (Why is no real title available?)1986-01-01Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3968191 (Why is no real title available?)1984-01-01Paper


Research outcomes over time


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