Predicting winner and estimating margin of victory in elections using sampling

DOI10.1016/J.ARTINT.2021.103476OpenAlexW3133162735MaRDI QIDQ2238579FDOQ2238579

Authors: Arnab Bhattacharyya, Palash Dey 

Publication date: 2 November 2021

Published in: Artificial Intelligence (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artint.2021.103476

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zbMATH Keywords

samplingvotingcomputational social choicemargin of victorywinner prediction

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Artificial intelligence (68Txx)

Cites Work

• On Information and Sufficiency
• Voting schemes for which it can be difficult to tell who won the election
• Asymptotic Minimax Character of the Sample Distribution Function and of the Classical Multinomial Estimator
• Sampling lower bounds via information theory
• Sampling algorithms: lower bounds and applications
• The complexity of Kemeny elections
• Divergence measures based on the Shannon entropy
• A combinatorial characterization of the testable graph properties, it's all about regularity
• How hard is bribery in elections?
• Exact analysis of Dodgson elections
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Handbook of Computational Social Choice
• Graph limits and parameter testing
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Behavioral social choice. Probabilistic models, statistical inference, and applications.
• Lower bounds for sampling algorithms for estimating the average
• On the evaluation of election outcomes under uncertainty
• Eliciting single-peaked preferences using comparison queries
• Vote elicitation with probabilistic preference models: empirical estimation and cost tradeoffs
• Kernelization complexity of possible winner and coalitional manipulation problems in voting
• Conservative statistical post-election audits
• A sharper discrepancy measure for post-election audits
• \(\ell_p\) testing and learning of discrete distributions

Cited In (4)

• A mathematical model for estimating the potential margin of state undecided voters for a candidate in a US federal election
• On the evaluation of election outcomes under uncertainty
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Toward Computing the Margin of Victory in Single Transferable Vote Elections

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