Predicting winner and estimating margin of victory in elections using sampling

DOI10.1016/J.ARTINT.2021.103476OpenAlexW3133162735MaRDI QIDQ2238579FDOQ2238579

Arnab Bhattacharyya, Palash Dey

Publication date: 2 November 2021

Published in: Artificial Intelligence (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.artint.2021.103476

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zbMATH Keywords

samplingvotingcomputational social choicemargin of victorywinner prediction

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Artificial intelligence (68Txx)

Cites Work

• On Information and Sufficiency
• Voting schemes for which it can be difficult to tell who won the election
• Asymptotic Minimax Character of the Sample Distribution Function and of the Classical Multinomial Estimator
• Sampling lower bounds via information theory
• Sampling algorithms
• The complexity of Kemeny elections
• Divergence measures based on the Shannon entropy
• A combinatorial characterization of the testable graph properties
• How Hard Is Bribery in Elections?
• Exact analysis of Dodgson elections
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Handbook of Computational Social Choice
• Graph limits and parameter testing
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Lower bounds for sampling algorithms for estimating the average
• On the evaluation of election outcomes under uncertainty
• Eliciting Single-Peaked Preferences Using Comparison Queries
• Vote Elicitation with Probabilistic Preference Models: Empirical Estimation and Cost Tradeoffs
• Kernelization complexity of possible winner and coalitional manipulation problems in voting
• Conservative statistical post-election audits
• A sharper discrepancy measure for post-election audits
• L _p Testing and Learning of Discrete Distributions

Cited In (3)

• A mathematical model for estimating the potential margin of state undecided voters for a candidate in a US federal election
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• Toward Computing the Margin of Victory in Single Transferable Vote Elections

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