Scalable penalized spatiotemporal land-use regression for ground-level nitrogen dioxide
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Publication:2245146
DOI10.1214/20-AOAS1422zbMATH Open1478.62356arXiv2005.09210OpenAlexW3181864722MaRDI QIDQ2245146FDOQ2245146
Authors: Kyle P. Messier, Matthias Katzfuss 
Publication date: 15 November 2021
Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Nitrogen dioxide (NO) is a primary constituent of traffic-related air pollution and has well established harmful environmental and human-health impacts. Knowledge of the spatiotemporal distribution of NO is critical for exposure and risk assessment. A common approach for assessing air pollution exposure is linear regression involving spatially referenced covariates, known as land-use regression (LUR). We develop a scalable approach for simultaneous variable selection and estimation of LUR models with spatiotemporally correlated errors, by combining a general-Vecchia Gaussian process approximation with a penalty on the LUR coefficients. In comparisons to existing methods using simulated data, our approach resulted in higher model-selection specificity and sensitivity and in better prediction in terms of calibration and sharpness, for a wide range of relevant settings. In our spatiotemporal analysis of daily, US-wide, ground-level NO data, our approach was more accurate, and produced a sparser and more interpretable model. Our daily predictions elucidate spatiotemporal patterns of NO concentrations across the United States, including significant variations between cities and intra-urban variation. Thus, our predictions will be useful for epidemiological and risk-assessment studies seeking daily, national-scale predictions, and they can be used in acute-outcome health-risk assessments.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.09210
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variable selectionair pollutionGaussian processspatial statisticskriginggeneral Vecchia approximation
Directional data; spatial statistics (62H11) General nonlinear regression (62J02) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Gaussian processes (60G15) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12)
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Cited In (9)
- Spatiotemporal exposure prediction with penalized regression
- Reduced-rank spatio-temporal modeling of air pollution concentrations in the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis and air pollution
- Spatial-temporal modellization of the \(\mathrm{NO}_2\) concentration data through geostatistical tools
- Scalable penalized spatiotemporal land-use regression for ground-level nitrogen dioxide
- Application of land use regression for estimating concentrations of major outdoor air pollutants in Jinan, China
- Spatio-temporal analysis of total nitrate concentrations using dynamic statistical models
- Correlation-based sparse inverse Cholesky factorization for fast Gaussian-process inference
- A Mechanistic Model of Annual Sulfate Concentrations in the United States
- Estimating daily nitrogen dioxide level: exploring traffic effects
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