Relations between deterministic and stochastic thresholds for disease extinction in continuous- and discrete-time infectious disease models

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2013.02.006zbMATH Open1279.92047OpenAlexW2091109815WikidataQ40255633 ScholiaQ40255633MaRDI QIDQ2434428FDOQ2434428

Linda J. S. Allen, P. van den Driessche

Publication date: 5 February 2014

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2013.02.006

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zbMATH Keywords

differential equationsMarkov chainsdifference equationsbranching processes

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Medical applications (general) (92C50) Medical epidemiology (92C60) Applications of branching processes (60J85) Computational methods for problems pertaining to biology (92-08)

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Cited In (47)

• The effect of demographic stochasticity on Zika virus transmission dynamics: probability of disease extinction, sensitivity analysis, and mean first passage time
• Impact of demographic variability on the disease dynamics for honeybee model
• Estimating the probability of an extinction or major outbreak for an environmentally transmitted infectious disease
• Disease outbreaks in plant-vector-virus models with vector aggregation and dispersal
• A comparison of deterministic and stochastic plant-vector-virus models based on probability of disease extinction and outbreak
• On time-discretized versions of the stochastic SIS epidemic model: a comparative analysis
• Free-virus and cell-to-cell transmission in models of equine infectious anemia virus infection
• Discrete stochastic metapopulation model with arbitrarily distributed infectious period
• Analysis of deterministic and stochastic mathematical models with resistant bacteria and bacteria debris for bacteriophage dynamics
• An exact and implementable computation of the final outbreak size distribution under Erlang distributed infectious period
• The significance of stochastic CTMC over deterministic model in understanding the dynamics of lymphatic filariasis with asymptomatic carriers
• A continuous time Markov chain model for the dynamics of bovine tuberculosis in humans and cattle
• Probability of disease extinction and outbreak in a stochastic tuberculosis model with fast-slow progression and relapse
• Disease clearance of tuberculosis infection: an in-host continuous-time Markov chain model
• Network-level reproduction number and extinction threshold for vector-borne diseases
• A stochastic tick-borne disease model: exploring the probability of pathogen persistence
• Stochastic investigation of HIV infection and the emergence of drug resistance
• A stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of two pathogens in a single tick population
• On the number of periodic inspections during outbreaks of discrete-time stochastic SIS epidemic models
• Limiting the spread of disease through altered migration patterns
• A stochastic model of antibiotic misuse, economy, and drug resistance: relating mutant extinction probability to socioeconomic and epidemiological factors
• Preventing noise-induced extinction in discrete population models
• A stochastic model for malaria transmission dynamics
• Crises, noise, and tipping in the Hassell population model
• Probability of a disease outbreak in stochastic multipatch epidemic models
• Disease emergence in multi-patch stochastic epidemic models with demographic and seasonal variability
• A direct comparison of methods for assessing the threat from emerging infectious diseases in seasonally varying environments
• Why the spectral radius? An intuition-building introduction to the basic reproduction number
• How environmental noise can contract and destroy a persistence zone in population models with Allee effect
• A stochastic multi-host model for West Nile virus transmission
• Lyme disease models of tick-mouse dynamics with seasonal variation in births, deaths, and tick feeding
• Modeling the within-host dynamics of cholera: bacterial–viral interaction
• Stochastic sensitivity technique in a persistence analysis of randomly forced population systems with multiple trophic levels
• A stochastic model of fowl pox disease: estimating the probability of disease outbreak
• The effect of delay in viral production in within-host models during early infection
• EXTINCTION THRESHOLD IN A STOCHASTIC EPIDEMIC MODEL FOR ROTAVIRUS DYNAMICS WITH CONTAMINATED ENVIRONMENT
• Maximal sensitive dependence and the optimal path to epidemic extinction
• Stochastic models of zoonotic avian influenza with multiple hosts, environmental transmission, and migration in the natural reservoir
• The probability of extinction of infectious salmon anemia virus in one and two patches
• Stochastic model of bovine babesiosis with juvenile and adult cattle
• Local approximation of Markov chains in time and space
• Impact of Variability in Stochastic Models of Bacteria-Phage Dynamics Applicable to Phage Therapy
• Effect of movement on the early phase of an epidemic
• Mathematical models for the effects of hypertension and stress on kidney and their uncertainty
• Stochastic two-group models with transmission dependent on host infectivity or susceptibility
• Outbreak or extinction of bovine cysticercosis and human taeniasis: a stochastic modelling approach
• Bistability in deterministic and stochastic SLIAR-type models with imperfect and waning vaccine protection

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