Optimal Linear Opinion Pools
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Publication:3352259
DOI10.1287/MNSC.37.5.546zbMATH Open0728.62008OpenAlexW2128980012MaRDI QIDQ3352259FDOQ3352259
Authors: Morris H. DeGroot, J. Mortera 
Publication date: 1991
Published in: Management Science (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.37.5.546
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weightsscoring rulesteamscommon priorcombining probability distributionslinear opinion poolmultiple decision makersoptimal weightsopinion poolquadratic loss functionscommon lossgroup of Bayesiansrestricted communications
Cited In (19)
- Resolving some contradictions in the theory of linear opinion pools.
- Coherent combination of experts' opinions. (With discussion)
- Optimal binary prediction for group decision making
- Conditionally externally Bayesian pooling operators in chain graphs
- Pooling operators with the marginalization property
- A Bayesian justification for the linear pooling of opinions
- Understanding pooled subjective probability estimates
- The maximal difference among expert's opinions
- Can coherent predictions be contradictory?
- Calibration, sharpness and the weighting of experts in a linear opinion pool
- Bounds on the probability of radically different opinions
- Extremizing and Antiextremizing in Bayesian Ensembles of Binary-Event Forecasts
- Optimal Reporting of Predictions
- Optimal square-root pooling from expert opinions
- Bayesian analysis with limited communication
- Learning optimal forecast aggregation in partial evidence environments
- An ordinal characterization of the linear opinion pool
- A REPRESENTATION OF KEYNES’S LONG-TERM EXPECTATION IN FINANCIAL MARKETS
- Optimal prediction pools
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