Modeling of sensory characteristics based on the growth of food spoilage bacteria

DOI10.1051/MMNP/201611508zbMATH Open1390.82030arXiv1609.07426OpenAlexW2526622556WikidataQ59279128 ScholiaQ59279128MaRDI QIDQ4607528FDOQ4607528

Authors:

Publication date: 14 March 2018

Published in: Mathematical Modelling of Natural Phenomena (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: During last years theoretical works shed new light and proposed new hypothesis on the mechanisms which regulate the time behaviour of biological populations in different natural systems. Despite of this, the role of environmental variables in ecological systems is still an open question. Filling this gap of knowledge is a crucial task for a deeper comprehension of the dynamics of biological populations in real ecosystems. In this work we study how the dynamics of food spoilage bacteria influences the sensory characteristics of fresh fish specimens. This topic is crucial for a better understanding of the role played by the bacterial growth on the organoleptic properties, and for the quality evaluation and risk assessment of food products. We therefore analyze the time behaviour, in fresh fish specimens, of sensory characteristics starting from the growth curves of two spoilage bacterial communities. The theoretical study, initially based on a deterministic model, exploits experimental temperature profiles. As a first step, a model of predictive microbiology is used to reproduce the experimental behaviour of the two bacterial populations. Afterwards, the theoretical bacterial growths are converted, through suitable differential equations, into "sensory" scores, based on the Quality Index Method (QIM), a scoring system for freshness and quality sensory estimation of fishery products. As a third step, the theoretical curves of QIM scores are compared with the experimental data obtained by sensory analysis. Finally, the differential equations for QIM scores are modified by adding terms of multiplicative white noise, which mimics the effects of uncertainty and variability in sensory analysis. A better agreement between experimental and theoretical QIM scores is observed, in some cases, in the presence of suitable values of noise intensity respect to the deterministic analysis.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.07426

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zbMATH Keywords

population dynamicspredictive microbiologystochastic ordinary differential equations

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Ecology (92D40) Stochastic ordinary differential equations (aspects of stochastic analysis) (60H10) Classical dynamic and nonequilibrium statistical mechanics (general) (82C05)

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Cited In (4)

• Analysis of a diffusive predator-prey system with anti-predator behaviour and maturation delay
• A novel method to simulate the 3D chlorophyll distribution in marine oligotrophic waters
• Preface. Bifurcations and Pattern Formation in Biological Applications
• Dynamic behavior analysis of phytoplankton-zooplankton system with cell size and time delay

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