Analytical solution of the SIR-model for the temporal evolution of epidemics. Part A: time-independent reproduction factor

DOI10.1088/1751-8121/ABC65DOpenAlexW3044914835MaRDI QIDQ5872031FDOQ5872031

Authors: Martin Kröger, Reinhard Schlickeiser 

Publication date: 26 January 2023

Published in: Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/abc65d

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zbMATH Keywords

coronavirusasymptotic behaviorextrapolationepidemic spreadingSIR epidemic modelstatistical analysisanalytic approximant

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Statistical mechanics, structure of matter (82-XX) Quantum theory (81-XX)

Cites Work

• On the Lambert \(w\) function
• The mathematics of infectious diseases
• Numerical evaluation of the Lambert W function and application to generation of generalized Gaussian noise with exponent 1/2
• Exact analytical solutions of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model and of the SIR model with equal death and birth rates
• Lyapunov functions for SIR and SIRS epidemic models
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• COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2. Modeling the present, looking at the future
• Kinetic theory of small-amplitude fluctuations in astrophysical plasmas
• Asymptotic series of generalized Lambert W function
• Numerics of the generalized Lambert W function
• Global threshold dynamics of an infection age-structured SIR epidemic model with diffusion under the Dirichlet boundary condition
• On the Summation of Divergent, Truncated, and Underspecified Power Series via Asymptotic Approximants
• How to reduce epidemic peaks keeping under control the time-span of the epidemic
• Size and timescale of epidemics in the SIR framework
• Dynamics of an epidemic system with prey herd behavior and alternative resource to predator

Cited In (18)

• Asymptotic analysis of the SIR model and the Gompertz distribution
• The two-step exponential decay reaction network: analysis of the solutions and relation to epidemiological SIR models with logistic and Gompertz type infection contact patterns
• Two critical times for the SIR model
• Discrete SIR model on a homogeneous tree and its continuous limit
• Dynamical behavior of the SEIARM-COVID-19 related models
• Analytical solution and adaptation to the parameter estimation of the SIR model
• Modeling of COVID-19 propagation with compartment models
• Computational aspects of the approximate analytic solutions of the SIR model: applications to modelling of COVID-19 outbreaks
• Analytical solution of the SIR-model for the temporal evolution of epidemics: part B. Semi-time case
• Asymptotic solutions of the SIR and SEIR models well above the epidemic threshold
• Stability and bifurcations of an SIR model with a nonlinear incidence rate
• Multi-Hamiltonian structure of the epidemics model accounting for vaccinations and a suitable test for the accuracy of its numerical solvers
• A data-driven test approach to identify COVID-19 surge phases: an alert-warning tool
• Analytical features of the SIR model and their applications to COVID-19
• On SIR-type epidemiological models and population heterogeneity effects
• Explicit formulae for the peak time of an epidemic from the SIR model. Which approximant to use?
• A highly accurate peak time formula of epidemic outbreak from the SIR model
• Asymptotic analysis of periodic solutions of the seasonal SIR model

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