Fixation probabilities for the Moran process with three or more strategies: general and coupling results
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Abstract: We study fixation probabilities for the Moran stochastic process for the evolution of a population with three or more types of individuals and frequency-dependent fitnesses. Contrarily to the case of populations with two types of individuals, in which fixation probabilities may be calculated by an exact formula, here we must solve a large system of linear equations. We first show that this system always has a unique solution. Other results are upper and lower bounds for the fixation probabilities obtained by coupling the Moran process with three strategies with birth-death processes with only two strategies. We also apply our bounds to the problem of evolution of cooperation in a population with three types of individuals already studied in a deterministic setting by N'u~nez Rodr'iguez and Neves (J. Math. Biol. (2016) 73:1665--1690). We argue that cooperators will be fixated in the population with probability arbitrarily close to 1 for a large region of initial conditions and large enough population sizes.
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Cited in
(8)- Fixation of strategies with the Moran and Fermi processes in evolutionary games
- Asymptotic behavior of mean fixation times in the Moran process with frequency-independent fitnesses
- Parameterised approximation of the fixation probability of the dominant mutation in the multi-type Moran process
- Moran-type bounds for the fixation probability in a frequency-dependent Wright-Fisher model
- Fixation probabilities in evolutionary games with the Moran and Fermi processes
- Wald's martingale and the conditional distributions of absorption time in the Moran process
- Fixation probabilities for the Moran process in evolutionary games with two strategies: graph shapes and large population asymptotics
- Stochastic dynamics in the fitness-based process which can be on behalf of the standard Moran, local and Wright-Fisher processes
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