Disagreement is unpredictable.

DOI10.1016/S0165-1765(02)00149-0MaRDI QIDQ1852938zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Robin D. Hanson

Publication date 21 January 2003

Published in Economics Letters (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/s0165-1765(02)00149-0

zbMATH Keywords

Agreeing to disagreeCommon knowledgeConsensus

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Economics of information (91B44)

Recommendations

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Cites work

• ``Impossibility of speculation theorems with noisy information
• Agreeing to disagree
• Approximating agreeing to disagree results with common \(p\)-beliefs
• Approximating common knowledge with common beliefs
• Common Knowledge of an Aggregate of Expectations
• Common knowledge, communication, and convergence of beliefs
• Common Knowledge, Consensus, and Aggregate Information
• Consensus by identifying extremists
• Don't Bet on it: Contingent Agreements with Asymmetric Information
• We can't disagree forever

Cited in

(6)

• For Bayesian wannabes, are disagreements not about information?
• Learning (to disagree?) in large worlds
• Evolution of forecast disagreement in a Bayesian learning model
• Aggregate information, common knowledge and agreeing not to bet
• Disagreement, correlation and asset prices
• Decentralized prediction markets and sports books

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