Tipping elements in the Earth's climate system

From MaRDI portal
Publication:3010070


DOI10.1073/pnas.0705414105zbMath1215.86004WikidataQ31145869 ScholiaQ31145869MaRDI QIDQ3010070

Stefan Rahmstorf, Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber, Wolfgang Lucht, Hermann Held, Timothy M. Lenton, Elmar Kriegler, James W. Hall

Publication date: 30 June 2011

Published in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0705414105


86A10: Meteorology and atmospheric physics

86-08: Computational methods for problems pertaining to geophysics


Related Items

Crises, noise, and tipping in the Hassell population model, Chenciner bubbles and torus break-up in a periodically forced delay differential equation, Unified functional network and nonlinear time series analysis for complex systems science: Thepyunicornpackage, Patterned vegetation, tipping points, and the rate of climate change, Early-warning indicators for rate-induced tipping, Edge states in the climate system: exploring global instabilities and critical transitions, Tipping Phenomena and Points of No Return in Ecosystems: Beyond Classical Bifurcations, Rethinking the definition of rate-induced tipping, Data-driven prediction of multistable systems from sparse measurements, The tipping times in an Arctic sea ice system under influence of extreme events, Inverse-square law between time and amplitude for crossing tipping thresholds, The maximum likelihood climate change for global warming under the influence of greenhouse effect and Lévy noise, Topological Climate Change, Scaling laws and warning signs for bifurcations of SPDEs, Critical Transition Analysis of the Deterministic Wind-Driven Ocean Circulation — A Flux-Based Network Approach, Stochastic models of the meridional overturning circulation: time scales and patterns of variability, Global stability properties of the climate: Melancholia states, invariant measures, and phase transitions, Estimating rate-induced tipping via asymptotic series and a Melnikov-like method*, On some aspects of the response to stochastic and deterministic forcings, Stochastic bifurcations and tipping phenomena of insect outbreak systems driven by α-stable Lévy processes, Adaptive dynamical networks, Eigen microstates and their evolutions in complex systems, A simple but powerful simulated certainty equivalent approximation method for dynamic stochastic problems, Limits to predictability of the asymptotic state of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a conceptual climate model, Tipping in a low-dimensional model of a tropical cyclone, The role of conceptual models in climate research, Statistical mechanics and information-theoretic perspectives on complexity in the Earth system, Control of multistability, Hidden attractors in dynamical systems, Creating agent-based energy transition management models that can uncover profitable pathways to climate change mitigation, Editorial: Analysis and applications of complex social networks, Fragility of the commons under prospect-theoretic risk attitudes, Introduction to the special issue on the statistical mechanics of climate, The theory of parallel climate realizations. A new framework of ensemble methods in a changing climate: an overview, Extreme sensitivity and climate tipping points, Bifurcation dodge: avoidance of a thermoacoustic instability under transient operation, Small-noise asymptotics of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations and bifurcations of stochastic optimal control problems, Early-warning signs for pattern-formation in stochastic partial differential equations, Enthalpy balance methods \textit{versus} temperature models in ice sheets, How stochasticity influences leading indicators of critical transitions, Forecasting the underlying potential governing the time series of a dynamical system, Tracking nonlinear correlation for complex dynamic systems using a windowed error reduction ratio method, Mitigating global warming: a real options approach, Regime shifts and ecological catastrophes in a model of plankton-oxygen dynamics under the climate change, Critical transitions and early warning signals in repeated cooperation games, Climate engineering in an interconnected world: the role of tariffs, Extending transition path theory: periodically driven and finite-time dynamics, Fast basin stability estimation for dynamic systems under large perturbations with sequential support vector machine, Probabilistic multivariate early warning signals, Predictions of critical transitions with non-stationary reduced order models, Hidden stochastic games and limit equilibrium payoffs, Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system, A mathematical framework for critical transitions: bifurcations, fast-slow systems and stochastic dynamics, The epistemology of climate models and some of its implications for climate science and the philosophy of science, A mathematical framework for critical transitions: normal forms, variance and applications, Assessing climate model projections: state of the art and philosophical reflections, Predicting high-codimension critical transitions in dynamical systems using active learning, Bifurcations of the climate system and greenhouse gas emissions, Nonlinear threshold behavior during the loss of Arctic sea ice, Qualitative Analysis of Critical Transitions in Complex Disease Propagation from a Dynamical Systems Perspective, PREDICTING CLIMATE TIPPING AS A NOISY BIFURCATION: A REVIEW, Excitability in ramped systems: the compost-bomb instability, Invariant states in inclined layer convection. Part 2. Bifurcations and connections between branches of invariant states, Using machine learning to predict statistical properties of non-stationary dynamical processes: System climate,regime transitions, and the effect of stochasticity, Tipping Points Near a Delayed Saddle Node Bifurcation with Periodic Forcing, Using GENIE to study a tipping point in the climate system



Cites Work