The probability of epidemic fade-out is non-monotonic in transmission rate for the Markovian SIR model with demography

DOI10.1016/J.JTBI.2016.01.012MaRDI QIDQ305965zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors P. G. Ballard, Nigel G. Bean, J. V. Ross

Publication date 31 August 2016

Published in Journal of Theoretical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL http://hdl.handle.net/2440/99434

zbMATH Keywords

diffusion approximationstochastic epidemic modelefficient algorithmsepidemic control

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of branching processes (60J85)

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Cites work

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• Stochastic epidemic models and their statistical analysis
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• Stochastic epidemics: The probability of extinction of an infectious disease at the end of a major outbreak
• The threshold behaviour of epidemic models

Cited in

(3)

• Intervention to maximise the probability of epidemic fade-out
• On the probability of strain invasion in endemic settings: accounting for individual heterogeneity and control in multi-strain dynamics
• The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities

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