A note on a paper by Erik Volz: SIR dynamics in random networks
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Publication:663140
DOI10.1007/S00285-010-0337-9zbMATH Open1232.92067arXiv0909.4485OpenAlexW2140984072WikidataQ51711882 ScholiaQ51711882MaRDI QIDQ663140FDOQ663140
Authors: Joel C. Miller 
Publication date: 14 February 2012
Published in: Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: Recent work by Erik Volz [arXiv:0705.2092] has shown how to calculate the growth and eventual decay of an SIR epidemic on a static random network, assuming infection and recovery each happen at constant rates. This calculation allows us to account for effects due to heterogeneity in degree that are neglected in the standard mass-action SIR equations. In this note we offer an alternate derivation which arrives at a simpler -- though equivalent -- system of governing equations to that of Volz. This new derivation is more closely connected to the underlying physical processes, and the resulting equations are of comparable complexity to the mass-action SIR equations. We further show that earlier derivations of the final size of epidemics on networks can be reproduced using the same approach, thereby providing a common framework for calculating both the dynamics and the final size of an epidemic spreading on a random network.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0909.4485
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Epidemiology (92D30) Dynamical systems in biology (37N25) Graph theory (05C99) General theory for ordinary differential equations (34A99)
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