Large deformations of the Tracy-Widom distribution. I: Non-oscillatory asymptotics

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Abstract: We analyze the left-tail asymptotics of deformed Tracy-Widom distribution functions describing the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalue in invariant random matrix ensembles after removing each soft edge eigenvalue independently with probability 1gammain[0,1]. As gamma varies, a transition from Tracy-Widom statistics (gamma=1) to classical Weibull statistics (gamma=0) was observed in the physics literature by Bohigas, de Carvalho, and Pato cite{BohigasCP:2009}. We provide a description of this transition by rigorously computing the leading-order left-tail asymptotics of the thinned GOE, GUE and GSE Tracy-Widom distributions. In this paper, we obtain the asymptotic behavior in the non-oscillatory region with gammain[0,1) fixed (for the GOE, GUE, and GSE distributions) and gammauparrow1 at a controlled rate (for the GUE distribution). This is the first step in an ongoing program to completely describe the transition between Tracy-Widom and Weibull statistics. As a corollary to our results, we obtain a new total-integral formula involving the Ablowitz-Segur solution to the second Painlev'e equation.



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