Impacts of Game-Theoretic Activation on Epidemic Spread over Dynamical Networks
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Publication:5019799
DOI10.1137/20M1376923zbMATH Open1480.92198arXiv2011.00445MaRDI QIDQ5019799FDOQ5019799
Authors: Ashish R. Hota, Tanya Sneh, Kavish Gupta
Publication date: 11 January 2022
Published in: SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: We investigate the evolution of epidemics over dynamical networks when nodes choose to interact with others in a selfish and decentralized manner. Specifically, we analyze the susceptible-asymptomatic-infected-recovered (SAIR) epidemic in the framework of activity-driven networks with heterogeneous node degrees and time-varying activation rates, and derive both individual and degree-based mean-field approximations of the exact state evolution. We then present a game-theoretic model where nodes choose their activation probabilities in a strategic manner using current state information as feedback, and characterize the quantal response equilibrium (QRE) of the proposed setting. We then consider the activity-driven susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model, characterize equilibrium activation probabilities and analyze epidemic evolution in closed-loop. Our numerical results provide compelling insights into epidemic evolution under game-theoretic activation. Specifically, for the SAIR epidemic, we show that under suitable conditions, the epidemic can persist, as any decrease in infected proportion is counteracted by an increase in activity rates by the nodes. For the SIS epidemic, we show that in regimes where there is an endemic state, the infected proportion could be significantly smaller under game-theoretic activation if the loss upon infection is sufficiently high.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.00445
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- Learning to mitigate epidemic risks: a dynamic population game approach
- The impact of information spreading on epidemic vaccination game dynamics in a heterogeneous complex network -- a theoretical approach
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- Intransigent vs. volatile opinions in a kinetic epidemic model with imitation game dynamics
- Game-Theoretic Vaccination Against Networked SIS Epidemics and Impacts of Human Decision-Making
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