Probabilities of electoral outcomes: from three-candidate to four-candidate elections

DOI10.1007/S11238-019-09724-5MaRDI QIDQ2300612zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Abdelhalim El Ouafdi, Dominique Lepelley, Hatem Smaoui

Publication date 27 February 2020

Published in Theory and Decision (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s11238-019-09724-5

zbMATH Keywords

Condorcet efficiencyCondorcet losermanipulabilityvoting paradoxesvoting rules

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Voting theory (91B12) Social choice (91B14)

Recommendations

• Likelihood of voting outcomes with generalized IAC probabilities
• Computations of volumes and Ehrhart series in four candidates elections
• Condorcet winners on four candidates with anonymous voters
• The likelihood of dubious election outcomes
• On the evaluation of election outcomes under uncertainty

Cites work

• A Polynomial Time Algorithm for Counting Integral Points in Polyhedra When the Dimension is Fixed
• Analytical representation of probabilities under the IAC condition
• Computations of volumes and Ehrhart series in four candidates elections
• Condorcet winners on four candidates with anonymous voters
• Condorcet’s Paradox
• Effective lattice point counting in rational convex polytopes
• Elections, voting rules and paradoxical outcomes
• Exploiting polyhedral symmetries in social choice
• Exploring the No-Show Paradox for Condorcet Extensions
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3163858 (Why is no real title available?)
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 44383 (Why is no real title available?)
• Obtaining representations for probabilities of voting outcomes with effectively unlimited precision integer arithmetic
• On Ehrhart polynomials and probability calculations in voting theory
• Polytope volume by descent in the face lattice and applications in social choice
• Probability calculations under the IAC hypothesis
• Social acceptability of Condorcet committees
• The computation of generalized Ehrhart series in normaliz
• The probability of the paradox of voting: A computable solution
• The proportion of coalitionally unstable situations under the plurality rule
• Voting paradoxes and group coherence. The Condorcet efficiency of voting rules.

Cited in

(14)

• The likelihood of dubious election outcomes
• Majority properties of positional social preference correspondences
• On the Condorcet efficiency of evaluative voting (and other voting rules) with trichotomous preferences
• Manipulable outcomes within the class of scoring voting rules
• Computations of volumes and Ehrhart series in four candidates elections
• Analyzing a nail-biting election
• Likelihood of voting outcomes with generalized IAC probabilities
• Obtaining representations for probabilities of voting outcomes with effectively unlimited precision integer arithmetic
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 804221 (Why is no real title available?)
• Condorcet Efficiency of General Weighted Scoring Rules Under IAC: Indifference and Abstention
• IAC Probability Calculations in Voting Theory: Progress Report
• When ties are possible: weak Condorcet winners and Arrovian rationality
• Polytope volume by descent in the face lattice and applications in social choice
• Probabilities of election outcomes with two parameters: the relative impact of unifying and polarizing candidates

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• Normaliz
• LattE
• Convex

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