scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3087284

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Publication:5826088

zbMath0055.12604MaRDI QIDQ5826088

Leonard J. Savage

Publication date: 1954


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Probably, Experimental evidence on case-based decision theory, A frequentist framework of inductive reasoning, An expected utility theory for state-dependent preferences, Subjective mean-variance preferences without expected utility, Lawler's minmax cost problem under uncertainty, Rational status quo, Revealed preferences under uncertainty: incomplete preferences and preferences for randomization, Aggregation of Bayesian preferences: unanimity vs monotonicity, Share repurchases and short sales under ambiguity, What are axiomatizations good for?, On some aspects of decision theory under uncertainty: rationality, price-probabilities and the Dutch book argument, Individual vs. group decision-making: an experiment on dynamic choice under risk and ambiguity, Flexibility of choice versus reduction of ambiguity, Probabilistic subjective expected utility, Asymptotics of robust utility maximization, Decision theory with prospect interference and entanglement, Context dependence and consistency in dynamic choice under uncertainty: the case of anticipated regret, A quantum-Bayesian route to quantum-state space, Belief and contextual acceptance, Nonadditive probabilities in statistics, The fog of fraud -- mitigating fraud by strategic ambiguity, An alternative axiomatization of intertemporal utility smoothing, Evaluating case-based decision theory: predicting empirical patterns of human classification learning, Confidence and decision, Uniform expected utility criteria for decision making under ignorance or objective ambiguity, Anchoring expectations of inflation, Foundations of everyday practical reasoning, Iterated Choquet expectations: a possibility result, The emergence of ``fifty-fifty probability judgments through Bayesian updating under ambiguity, Awareness and equilibrium, The sure thing principle, dilations, and objective probabilities, Ambiguity and robust statistics, Decomposition-integral: unifying Choquet and the concave integrals, Ambiguity, data and preferences for information -- a case-based approach, Confidence in preferences, Precautionary saving and the notion of ambiguity prudence, Decisions with conflicting and imprecise information, Where do Bayesian priors come from?, Logic with numbers, Distinguishing indeterminate belief from ``risk-averse preferences, Iterated strict dominance in general games, Unanimous subjective probabilities, Ex-ante estate division under strong Pareto efficiency, Decision-making through dominance plausible rule: new characterizations, A simple non-parametric method for eliciting prospect theory's value function and measuring loss aversion under risk and ambiguity, Unawareness with ``possible possible worlds, Preference-based unawareness, Choice theory when agents can randomize, Sharing ambiguous risks, Measurement analogies: comparisons of behavioral and physical measures, Parameterization of the lottery model of nonparametric decision-making situation, Random sets lotteries and decision theory, Coherent choice functions under uncertainty, Probability logic, logical probability, and inductive support, Meta-argumentation modelling. I: Methodology and techniques, Reconciling support theory and the book-making principle, On some ordinal models for decision making under uncertainty, Justifiable choice, Nontransitive preferences in decision theory, Ambiguity aversion in the small and in the large for weighted linear utility, Obvious belief elicitation, Machine learning models, epistemic set-valued data and generalized loss functions: an encompassing approach, Fully probabilistic design of hierarchical Bayesian models, Advances in Bayesian decision making in reliability, An additive model of decision making under risk and ambiguity, On de Finetti's instrumentalist philosophy of probability, Dominance rationality: a unified approach, Another form of Chover's law of the iterated logarithm under sub-linear expectations, Relative utilitarianism under uncertainty, On the robustness of indeterminacy in subjective probability, Modeling agent's conditional preferences under objective ambiguity in Dempster-Shafer theory, States of nature and states of mind: a generalized theory of decision-making, Ambiguity and price competition, Expected discounted utility, On the interpretation of ensemble classifiers in terms of Bayes classifiers, Consequentialism and dynamic consistency in updating ambiguous beliefs, Stable behavior and generalized partition, A revealed reference point for prospect theory, Subjective contingencies and limited Bayesian updating, Lexicographic refinements in possibilistic decision trees and finite-horizon Markov decision processes, Preference orderings represented by coherent upper and lower conditional previsions, Solving sequential collective decision problems under qualitative uncertainty, Decision-making with belief functions: a review, A model of belief influence in large social networks, Cournot competition under uncertainty: conservative and optimistic equilibria, Aggregating infinitely many probability measures, Minimax and the value of information, Rationalizing epistemic bounded rationality, A consistent set of infinite-order probabilities, Monetary equilibria and Knightian uncertainty, About probability-like measures for entire theories, Minimizing regret in dynamic decision problems, Logics of Rational Interaction, Perspectival Act Utilitarianism, Rationalizability in general situations, Ambiguity aversion under maximum-likelihood updating, Shunning uncertainty: the neglect of learning opportunities, Choosing Priors for Constrained Analysis of Variance: Methods Based on Training Data, Utility function under risk: an ergodic approach, THE 2013 LAWRENCE R. KLEIN LECTURE: BEHAVIORAL AND DESCRIPTIVE FORMS OF CHOICE MODELS†, MARKET MAKING AND PORTFOLIO LIQUIDATION UNDER UNCERTAINTY, Dynamic decision making: a comparison of approaches, Epistemic justification: its subjective and its objective ways, Ultrametric diffusion equation on energy landscape to model disease spread in hierarchic socially clustered population, A diversity-based genetic algorithm for scenario generation, Portfolio selection in quantile decision models, How to make ambiguous strategies, Knowledge representation and inference in similarity networks and Bayesian multinets, Non-Bayesian correlated equilibrium as an expression of non-Bayesian rationality, Equilibria of nonatomic anonymous games, A logic of time, chance, and action for representing plans, From statistical knowledge bases to degrees of belief, Why randomize? Minimax optimality under permutation invariance, Updating variational (Bewley) preferences, An axiomatic characterization of Bayesian updating, Valueless measures on pointless spaces, John von Neumann’s work in the theory of games and mathematical economics, Dr. Truthlove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Bayesian Probabilities*, Fixed-point solutions to the regress problem in normative uncertainty, On the proper formulation of conditionalization, A subjectivist's guide to deterministic chance, Axiomatic rationality and ecological rationality, Betting against the Zen monk: on preferences and partial belief, Entscheidungsproblem und Strategische Spiele, Simultaneous elicitation of scoring rule and agent preferences for robust winner determination, How Infallible but Corrigible Full Belief Is Possible, Decision Theory Without “Independence” or Without “Ordering”, Ambiguity and the Bayesian Paradigm, State-Dependent Utilities, Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty, Sentences, Belief and Logical Omniscience, or What Does Deduction Tell Us?, Epistemic Conditions for Nash Equilibrium, Unnamed Item, Unnamed Item, Unnamed Item, Resiliency, robustness and rationality of probability judgements, FUNCTIONS OF A THEORY OF BEHAVIOR UNDER UNCERTAINTY, Computational Models for Cumulative Prospect Theory: Application to the Knapsack Problem Under Risk, Comonotonic proper scoring rules to measure ambiguity and subjective beliefs, Robust utility maximization with limited downside risk in incomplete markets, On the St. Petersburg Paradox, How politicians make decisions: A political choice experiment, On the concept of decision aiding process: an operational perspective, Choice under uncertainty with the best and worst in mind: Neo-additive capacities, Decision making under uncertainty with fuzzy targets, Small worlds: Modeling attitudes toward sources of uncertainty, Regret aversion and opportunity dependence, Orders on multisets and discrete cones, Great expectations. I: On the customizability of generalized expected utility, Agreement and stochastic independence of belief functions, Measurement theory and the foundations of utilitarianism, Bootstrap confirmation made quantitative, On the foundations of statistics and decision theory, Compatibilidad del método de De Groot para llegar a un consenso con la fórmula de Bayes, Analisis bayesiano de los contrastes de hipotesis parametricos, Bayesian nonparametric model selection and model testing, MATHEMATICAL STRUCTURE OF QUANTUM DECISION THEORY, Merging and testing opinions, Mean-variance approximations to expected utility, The opportunity cost of mean-variance choice under estimation risk, Koopmans' constant discounting for intertemporal choice: A simplification and a generalization, Robust optimal risk sharing and risk premia in expanding pools, Critical probabilities and determinism in decision theory, A general theory of polynomial conjoint measurement, GROUP DECISION MAKING WITH UNCERTAIN OUTCOMES: UNPACKING CHILD-PARENT CHOICE OF THE HIGH SCHOOL TRACK, Admissible probability measurement procedures, Some formal models of grading principles, Strategy and the logic of decision, Wald's mighty maximin: a tutorial, Risk-informed decision-making in the presence of epistemic uncertainty, Additivity, utility, and subjective probability, Preference logic and theory choice, Bayesian statistics and biased procedures, Automated Preference Elicitation for Decision Making, Statistics, induction, and lawlikeness: Comments on Dr. Vetter's paper, The structure of logical probabilities, Symmetric Measures on Cartesian Products, A second generation little Jiffy, RISK MEASURES: RATIONALITY AND DIVERSIFICATION, Inductivism and probabilism, Inductive systematization: Definition and a critical survey, Conditional expected, extensive utility, Aggregation of decomposable measures with application to utility theory, Uncertainty aversion and aversion to increasing uncertainty, Evaluating second-order probability judgments with strictly proper scoring rules, Rational beliefs and endogenous uncertainty, Endogenous uncertainty in a general equilibrium model with price contingent contracts, On relationship between probabilistic rough set and Bayesian risk decision over two universes, Bayesian pitman closeness, Using Padoa's principle to prove the non-definability, in terms of each other, of the three fundamental qualitative concepts of comparative probability, independence and comparative uncertainty, with some new axioms of qualitative independence and uncertainty included, A NEW METHOD FOR COMPARING EXPERIMENTS AND MEASURING INFORMATION, GENERALIZATION OF THE PAIRWISE STOCHASTIC PRECEDENCE ORDER TO THE SEQUENCE OF RANDOM VARIABLES, Fuzzy measures and asset prices: accounting for information ambiguity, Unnamed Item, Predictive Inference from the Half-Normal Model Given a Type II Censored Sample, Context-Dependent Utilities, Assessment of Prior Distributions based on Information Theory, MERGING OF OPINIONS AND PROBABILITY KINEMATICS, A DUTCH BOOK THEOREM AND CONVERSE DUTCH BOOK THEOREM FOR KOLMOGOROV CONDITIONALIZATION, On the Origins of Imperfection and Apparent Non-rationality, An Econometric Model Based on the Maxmin Expected Utility Model: An Application to Earthquake Insurance, Quantum generalized observables framework for psychological data: a case of preference reversals in US elections, A model of adaptive decision-making from representation of information environment by quantum fields, One-Shot Decision Theory: A Fundamental Alternative for Decision Under Uncertainty, Risk Perception and Ambiguity in a Quantile Cumulative Prospect Theory, Decision Making Under Interval Uncertainty (and Beyond), Decision Making Under Z-Information, Approximations of One-dimensional Expected Utility Integral of Alternatives Described with Linearly-Interpolated p-Boxes, A survey of belief revision and updating rules in various uncertainty models, Decisions under risk and uncertainty: A survey of recent developments, Multicriteria efficiency with arbitrary finite sets and cyclic preferences, How Likelihood and Identification went Bayesian, Influence Diagrams for Causal Modelling and Inference, Qualitative possibility theory and its applications to constraint satisfaction and decision under uncertainty, Duopolistic competition with multiple scenarios and different attitudes toward uncertainty, Eine Entscheidungsregel für den Fall partiell bekannter Wahrscheinlichkeiten, Subjective Weights Based Meta-Learning in Multi-criteria Decision Making, Imprecise information and subjective belief, An Information-Based Model for Subjective Probability, Interactive multicriterial choice of variants in problems with weak constraints, The ex ante aggregation of opinions under uncertainty, Flexible Bayesian analysis of first price auctions using a simulated likelihood, Estimating ambiguity aversion in a portfolio choice experiment, PROBABILISTIC STABILITY, AGM REVISION OPERATORS AND MAXIMUM ENTROPY, Optimization with Reference-Based Robust Preference Constraints, A qualitative approach to quantum probability, Lexicographic order preservation and stochastic dominance, Contextual Mechanism Design, Measure-valued opinion dynamics, Unnamed Item, Conjoint Axiomatization of the Choquet Integral for Heterogeneous Product Sets, Preferences on Gambles Representable by a Choquet Expected Value with Respect to Conditional Belief and Plausibility Functions, A NOTE ON THE EXISTENCE OF RATIFIABLE ACTS, The Myopic Property in Decision Models, Fundamental Principles of Modeling in Macroeconomics, Pitowsky’s Epistemic Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics and the PBR Theorem, Valuation of Research and Development Projects Using Buying and Selling Prices: Generalized Definitions, Lexicographic Refinements of Sugeno Integrals, Unnamed Item, Unnamed Item, Unnamed Item, Active Inference, Curiosity and Insight, ZOOMING IN ON AMBIGUITY ATTITUDES, PREFERENCE BASED ON REASONS, Of what use are tests of significance and tests of hypothesis, A Tutorial on Learning with Bayesian Networks, AN EPISTEMIC RATIONALE FOR ORDER INDEPENDENCE, External Observer Reflections on QBism, Its Possible Modifications, and Novel Applications, The Current Position of Statistics: A Personal View, SYSTEM IDENTIFICATION, APPROXIMATION AND COMPLEXITY, Gains, losses, and cooperation in social dilemmas and collective action: The effects of risk preferences, Dominance and innovation: a returns‐based beliefs approach, A statistical model-based algorithm for ‘black-box’ multi-objective optimisation, FORMAL EPISTEMOLOGY, CONTEXT AND CONTENT: INTRODUCTION TO SPECIAL ISSUE ON RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN FORMAL EPISTEMOLOGY, SENTENCES, BELIEF AND LOGICAL OMNISCIENCE, OR WHAT DOES DEDUCTION TELL US?, Social Learning in Networks with Time‐Varying Topologies, Uncertainty, dynamic conditions, and optimal investment, employment and inventory policies, Conditional utility, Fuzzy rationality and parameter elicitation in decision analysis, EVIDENCE THEORY: A MATHEMATICAL FRAMEWORK FOR UNPREDICTABLE HYPOTHESES, A characterization of generalized concordance rules in multicriteria decision making, The Beginnings of Axiomatic Subjective Probability, Tamaño optimo de una muestra: Solucion Bayesiana, Do Bayesians Learn Their Way Out of Ambiguity?, MODEL UNCERTAINTY AND ITS IMPACT ON THE PRICING OF DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS, PROBABILITY AND UNCERTAINTY: THE LEGACY OF GEORGESCU‐ROEGEN, Aplicaciones de la Teoria Bayesiana de la Decision al diagnostico y tratamiento medico, Evolution of global contribution in multi-level threshold public goods games with insurance compensation, Comparing Questions and Answers: A Bit of Logic, a Bit of Language, and Some Bits of Information, REALISTIC UTILITY VERSUS GAME UTILITY: A PROPOSAL FOR DEALING WITH THE SPREAD OF UNCERTAIN PROSPECTS, Unnamed Item, Capacity Refinements and Their Application to Qualitative Decision Evaluation, A foundation for probabilistic beliefs with or without atoms, Considerations on probability: from games of chance to modern science, Choquet Expected Utility Representation of Preferences on Generalized Lotteries, Paraconsistent conjectural deduction based on logical entropy measures I: C-systems as non-standard inference framework, Decision Analysis Methods for Selecting Consumer Services with Attribute Value Uncertainty, Strong coalitional equilibria in games under uncertainty, Interdependent Altruistic Preference Models, Measuring Beliefs Under Ambiguity, PEOPLE WITH COMMON PRIORS CAN AGREE TO DISAGREE, Optimization in decision analysis, marketing and financial investments, Risk Measures and Robust Optimization Problems, Asymmetry of Risk and Value of Information, Axiomatic approach to statistical models and their use in multimodal optimization theory, Das nichtkooperative Nichtnullsummen-Zwei-Personen-Spiel, Zum spieltheoretlschen kompromiß in der vektoroptimierung, A NEW ARGUMENT FOR KOLOMOGOROV CONDITIONALIZATION, Unnamed Item, Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Dynamic Portfolio Allocation, What are the Most Important Statistical Ideas of the Past 50 Years?, Characterizing Dirichlet Priors, Mere Renovation is Too Little Too Late: We Need to Rethink our Undergraduate Curriculum from the Ground Up, Nota sobre teoria de la utilidad: Relacion entre las axiomaticas de von Neumann — Morgenstern y L. J. Savage, The logic of action and control, Convergence of utility indifference prices to the superreplication price in a multiple‐priors framework, Preference robust state-dependent distortion risk measure on act space and its application in optimal decision making, Two impossibility results for social choice under individual indifference intransitivity, Subjective expected utility through stochastic independence, Adversarial and Amiable Inference in Medical Diagnosis, Reliability and Survival Analysis, The strength of de Finetti's coherence theorem, Strength of preference over complementary pairs axiomatizes alpha-MEU preferences, Multi-target decision making under conditions of severe uncertainty, Purely subjective revealed ambiguity, Expected utility in Savage's framework without the completeness axiom, Focus programming: a bi‐level programming approach to static stochastic optimization problems, Unrealized arbitrage opportunities in naive equilibria with non-Bayesian belief processes, Conditional decisions under objective and subjective ambiguity in Dempster-Shafer theory, On the Ellsberg and Machina paradoxes, Multiattribute regret: theory and experimental study, On Some Principles of Statistical Inference, Logical ignorance and logical learning, Testing negative value of information and ambiguity aversion, Minimax decision rules for planning under uncertainty: drawbacks and remedies, Ambiguous price formation, Random dual expected utility, Source and rank-dependent utility, Randomizing without randomness, Classical \(p\)-values and the Bayesian posterior probability that the hypothesis is approximately true, A Theory of Bounded Inductive Rationality, Mixture independence foundations for expected utility, The case of the Jeffreys-Lindley-paradox as a Bayes-frequentist compromise: a perspective based on the Rao-Lovric-theorem, Robust Bayesian choice, Model-based preference quantification, Preference for knowledge, A historical overview of textbook presentations of statistical science, Desirability foundations of robust rational decision making, How to be imprecise and yet immune to sure loss, Expected utility theory, Jeffrey's decision theory, and the paradoxes, Newcomb's problem isn't a choice dilemma, Best-response equilibrium: an equilibrium in finitely additive mixed strategies, Defining replicability of prediction rules, The sure-thing principle, Bradley conditionals and dynamic choice, Tracking probabilistic truths: a logic for statistical learning, Fairly taking turns, A behavioral definition of loss aversion, Stochastic additive differences, Decision-making under uncertainty -- a quantum value operator approach, Subjective expected utility with signed threshold, A logic for preference lifting under uncertainty and its decidability, On the pragmatic and epistemic virtues of inference to the best explanation, The value of cost-free uncertain evidence, Who accepts Savage's axiom now?, Harmonic choice model, The key to the knowledge norm of action is ambiguity, Procurements with Bidder Asymmetry in Cost and Risk-Aversion, Sequential Language-based Decisions, Metatickles and Death in Damascus, What to offer if consumers do not want what they need? A simultaneous evaluation approach with an application to retirement savings products, Unnamed Item, A note on exchangeable sequences, Constructive decision theory, Statistical inference and subjective probabilities, A fuzzy-based multimodel system for reasoning about the number of software defects, Constructive decision theory, Unnamed Item, Operational measures of information characteristics, Testing for heterogeneity of recombination fraction values in Human Genetics, Decision-theoretic foundations of qualitative possibility theory, The application of decision theory of probability to a simple inventory problem, The reflection effect for constant risk averse agents, Evaluating new options in the context of existing plans, Representing subjective orderings of random variables: An extension, Production under uncertainty and choice under uncertainty in the emergence of generalized expected utility theory, Agreeing to disagree in a countable space of equiprobable states of nature, A life-cycle model with ambiguous survival beliefs, Universal interactive preferences, A conversation with Eugenio Regazzini, The value of information and the value of awareness, Choice under aggregate uncertainty, The Anscombe-Aumann representation and the independence axiom: a reconsideration, The impact of the bootstrap on statistical algorithms and theory, Games of incomplete information: a framework based on belief functions, The problem of inductive inference, Membership Functions, Quality Control for Scientific Research: Addressing Reproducibility, Responsiveness, and Relevance, Expert Knowledge Elicitation: Subjective but Scientific, Before p < 0.05 to Beyond p < 0.05: Using History to Contextualize p-Values and Significance Testing, How Large Are Your G-Values? Try Gosset’s Guinnessometrics When a Little “p” Is Not Enough, Adversarial Risk Analysis for Auctions Using Mirror Equilibrium and Bayes Nash Equilibrium, Friction and Decision Rules in Portfolio Decision Analysis, Unnamed Item, Comment: Bayesian Ideas Reemerged in the 1950s